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The TP ladder

The take-profit ladder — which rung trades actually reach

Every signal has six take-profit rungs. This page shows, out of every closed trade — not just the winners — how many reached each rung, how many stopped there, and what the trade finally booked.

131 days · 1405/02/27, 15:13 UTC to 1405/07/03, 14:35 UTC

Accounting basis: ladder

No percentage on this page shares a single denominator. Each column states its own below the table, and the exact n for every rung is printed again in the per-rung detail section. No calculation removes losing trades.

The funnel

From every closed trade to every rung

closed trades in this window

1,574

Rung touches, TP1 through TP6 — total

1,688

The number of rung-touch events in this window: one event per trade per rung. A touch means the price reached the rung — not that an order filled on an exchange. Whether this tally agrees with the «Reached» column is checked and published per rung.

Trades where the ladder booked at least one rung

105

of 1,574 closed trades in this window · Source: partial_close_log

«Reached» is not «booked»

The funnel above counts the price reaching a rung. partial_close_log counts the trades for which the ladder actually wrote a partial close — a far smaller population. The two are published side by side, are never added together, and neither stands in for the other.

Reaching a rung is not the same as banking it on an exchange. Realised partial fills live in partial_close_log and are published per trade at /trade/{code}; only trades closed after 2026-07-30 have them, which is why basis=blended exists. basis=ladder prices every rung the price reached from the ladder that was published with the signal — see advertised_not_executed.

The take-profit rungs priced by this basis were ANNOUNCED, not executed. partial_close_log carries volume_closed = 0.0 and order_id = NULL on 100% of its rows, order_fills is empty and positions.user_id is NULL everywhere: there is no exchange fill behind any of it. TradeYar is a signal service, so the ladder that was published to subscribers is the correct thing to account for — but it is a record of what was published, not of money that moved. A subscriber's own result depends on whether they took the rungs, at what size, with what fees.

The other side of the ladder: trades that filled no rung

Most closed trades never reach a take-profit rung at all. That figure is published next to the reach rates, not beneath them.

Trades that reached no rung at all

912

of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window

Share of all closed trades

57.94%

of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window

Average return of those trades

-11.50%

of 912 trades that filled no rung

The take-profit ladder — which rung trades actually reach
RungReachedReach rateFrom previous rungStopped hereBooked in partial_close_logAvg final return when it stopped hereAvg return at fillMedian time to fillp90 time to fill
TP166242.06%
of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window		42.06%
of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window		26062
of 260 trades whose highest rung reached was TP1		+18.70% (افزایش)
of 260 trades whose highest rung reached was TP1		+16.59% (افزایش)
of 662 TP_HIT events at level 1 carrying an ROI		141min754min
TP240225.54%
of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window		60.73%
of 662 trades that reached TP1		16736
of 167 trades whose highest rung reached was TP2		+23.94% (افزایش)
of 167 trades whose highest rung reached was TP2		+21.64% (افزایش)
of 402 TP_HIT events at level 2 carrying an ROI		157min736min
TP323514.93%
of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window		58.46%
of 402 trades that reached TP2		615
of 61 trades whose highest rung reached was TP3		+29.97% (افزایش)
of 61 trades whose highest rung reached was TP3		+26.28% (افزایش)
of 235 TP_HIT events at level 3 carrying an ROI		163min647min
TP417411.05%
of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window		74.04%
of 235 trades that reached TP3		441
of 44 trades whose highest rung reached was TP4		+34.22% (افزایش)
of 44 trades whose highest rung reached was TP4		+31.22% (افزایش)
of 174 TP_HIT events at level 4 carrying an ROI		188min751min
TP51308.26%
of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window		74.71%
of 174 trades that reached TP4		451
of 45 trades whose highest rung reached was TP5		+40.84% (افزایش)
of 45 trades whose highest rung reached was TP5		+36.38% (افزایش)
of 130 TP_HIT events at level 5 carrying an ROI		213min812min
TP6855.40%
of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window		65.38%
of 130 trades that reached TP5		850
of 85 trades whose highest rung reached was TP6		+50.51% (افزایش)
of 85 trades whose highest rung reached was TP6		+41.10% (افزایش)
of 85 TP_HIT events at level 6 carrying an ROI		325min923min

Denominator of each column

  • Reach rate: out of all closed trades in the window.
  • From previous rung: out of the trades that reached the previous rung — not out of the whole ledger. For TP1 the two are the same.
  • Booked in partial_close_log: of the trades whose highest rung was this one, how many actually have a partial close written in that table. Reaching the rung does not imply it.
  • Avg final return: only over trades whose highest filled rung was this one.
  • Avg return at fill and time to fill: over the fill events at this rung, not over trades.
  • Announced in the channel: of the TP_HIT events at this rung, how many were posted to the channel as a reply to the signal message.

Details for rung

TP1 Cross-check between two tables: Agree

Reach rate

42.06%

of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window

From previous rung

42.06%

of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window

Booked in partial_close_log

62

of 260 trades whose highest rung reached was TP1

Avg final return when it stopped here

18.70%

of 260 trades whose highest rung reached was TP1

Avg return at fill

16.59%

of 662 TP_HIT events at level 1 carrying an ROI

Announced in the channel

548

of 662 TP_HIT events at level 1

Median time to fill

141

of 662 TP1 fills with both an event time and a position start

p90 time to fill

754

of 662 TP1 fills with both an event time and a position start

TP2 Cross-check between two tables: Agree

Reach rate

25.54%

of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window

From previous rung

60.73%

of 662 trades that reached TP1

Booked in partial_close_log

36

of 167 trades whose highest rung reached was TP2

Avg final return when it stopped here

23.94%

of 167 trades whose highest rung reached was TP2

Avg return at fill

21.64%

of 402 TP_HIT events at level 2 carrying an ROI

Announced in the channel

346

of 402 TP_HIT events at level 2

Median time to fill

157

of 402 TP2 fills with both an event time and a position start

p90 time to fill

736

of 402 TP2 fills with both an event time and a position start

TP3 Cross-check between two tables: Agree

Reach rate

14.93%

of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window

From previous rung

58.46%

of 402 trades that reached TP2

Booked in partial_close_log

5

of 61 trades whose highest rung reached was TP3

Avg final return when it stopped here

29.97%

of 61 trades whose highest rung reached was TP3

Avg return at fill

26.28%

of 235 TP_HIT events at level 3 carrying an ROI

Announced in the channel

207

of 235 TP_HIT events at level 3

Median time to fill

163

of 235 TP3 fills with both an event time and a position start

p90 time to fill

647

of 235 TP3 fills with both an event time and a position start

TP4 Cross-check between two tables: Agree

Reach rate

11.05%

of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window

From previous rung

74.04%

of 235 trades that reached TP3

Booked in partial_close_log

1

of 44 trades whose highest rung reached was TP4

Avg final return when it stopped here

34.22%

of 44 trades whose highest rung reached was TP4

Avg return at fill

31.22%

of 174 TP_HIT events at level 4 carrying an ROI

Announced in the channel

156

of 174 TP_HIT events at level 4

Median time to fill

188

of 174 TP4 fills with both an event time and a position start

p90 time to fill

751

of 174 TP4 fills with both an event time and a position start

TP5 Cross-check between two tables: Agree

Reach rate

8.26%

of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window

From previous rung

74.71%

of 174 trades that reached TP4

Booked in partial_close_log

1

of 45 trades whose highest rung reached was TP5

Avg final return when it stopped here

40.84%

of 45 trades whose highest rung reached was TP5

Avg return at fill

36.38%

of 130 TP_HIT events at level 5 carrying an ROI

Announced in the channel

117

of 130 TP_HIT events at level 5

Median time to fill

213

of 130 TP5 fills with both an event time and a position start

p90 time to fill

812

of 130 TP5 fills with both an event time and a position start

TP6 Cross-check between two tables: Agree

Reach rate

5.40%

of 1,574 closed gradeable trades in window

From previous rung

65.38%

of 130 trades that reached TP5

Booked in partial_close_log

0

of 85 trades whose highest rung reached was TP6

Avg final return when it stopped here

50.51%

of 85 trades whose highest rung reached was TP6

Avg return at fill

41.10%

of 85 TP_HIT events at level 6 carrying an ROI

Announced in the channel

78

of 85 TP_HIT events at level 6

Median time to fill

325

of 85 TP6 fills with both an event time and a position start

p90 time to fill

923

of 85 TP6 fills with both an event time and a position start

Field notes

avg_roi_at_fill_pct

The ROI showing on the position when the rung was hit. It is NOT what the trade finally booked: after TP1 the stop moves and the remainder can still lose. Compare it with avg_final_roi_when_stopped_here_pct on the same rung.

reach_rate_pct

Denominator is every closed gradeable trade in the window, losers included. This is the honest funnel, not a win-rate restated. Under basis=ladder this funnel IS the success rate: reach_rate_pct at TP1 is the headline number, because a trade that reached TP1 banked the fraction the published ladder assigned to it.

rung_count_source

Every count in this section comes from positions.last_hit_tp, cross-checked per rung against the TP_HIT event log. The ladder accounting stores its own validated copy in positions.tp_hit_count and the summary endpoint reports reach rates from that column; the two agree wherever the accounting has run, and cross_check on each rung is what would show it if they stopped.

partial_closes

Reaching a rung is not the same as banking it on an exchange. Realised partial fills live in partial_close_log and are published per trade at /trade/{code}; only trades closed after 2026-07-30 have them, which is why basis=blended exists. basis=ladder prices every rung the price reached from the ladder that was published with the signal — see advertised_not_executed.

advertised_not_executed

The take-profit rungs priced by this basis were ANNOUNCED, not executed. partial_close_log carries volume_closed = 0.0 and order_id = NULL on 100% of its rows, order_fills is empty and positions.user_id is NULL everywhere: there is no exchange fill behind any of it. TradeYar is a signal service, so the ladder that was published to subscribers is the correct thing to account for — but it is a record of what was published, not of money that moved. A subscriber's own result depends on whether they took the rungs, at what size, with what fees.

This page reports 1,688 touches of the take-profit rungs across 1,574 closed trades. A touch means the price reached the rung, not that an order filled on an exchange.